I’m reading a book by Kevin Kelly at the moment on how the future will come to be, it’s called “The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future.”
This guy has been predicting tech trends with good accuracy for the past 40 years so it’s interesting to read his thoughts. Below is a passage that really rings true from his writing on artificial intelligence. He writes of AI gradually becoming more able than humans at nearly everything we can think of now (remember that right now an airline pilot only actually flies the plane for about 7 mins the rest is handled by A.I.) – and that in the future most of us will be engaged in work we can’t imagine yet.
Here are his 7 stages of ‘robot replacement’ or how he sees us reacting as AI gets more and more capable.
1. A robot/computer cannot possibly do the tasks I do.
2. [Later.] OK, it can do a lot of those tasks, but it can’t do everything I do.
3. [Later.] OK, it can do everything I do, except it needs me when it breaks down, which is often.
4. [Later.] OK, it operates flawlessly on routine stuff, but I need to train it for new tasks.
5. [Later.] OK, OK, it can have my old boring job, because it’s obvious that was not a job that humans were meant to do.
6. [Later.] Wow, now that robots are doing my old job, my new job is much more interesting and pays more!
7. [Later.] I am so glad a robot/computer cannot possibly do what I do now. [Repeat.]”
So it seems that in time A.I. will be able to do everything better than us. He does point out though that A.I. will have more trouble deciding what to do. So save some time each day for creating, imagining and dreaming everyone, your ideas will be the currency of the future!